
The Ornn Index: S&P 500 for Accelerated Compute
Why GPU Compute Prices Matter—Especially Because Compute Isn't Fungible
Ornn is building the data infrastructure for a market that resists simple comparisons
Compute is not fungible. Anyone who's actually operated AI infrastructure knows this. An H100 in Dallas doesn't equal an H100 in Norway. An H100 hosted by Oracle is not the same as an H100 hosted by a neocloud. Networking topology, power reliability, software stack, support quality, and counterparty credit all shape what you're really buying. Two offers at the same headline price can deliver wildly different outcomes in production. There is a reason why the top AI labs exclusively buy from top tier cloud providers.
This heterogeneity is precisely why price discovery matters.
Markets with uniform goods don't need sophisticated pricing infrastructure. The price is the price. But markets with meaningful variation need something harder to build: reference prices that create a common language while respecting real differences.
Consider the markets that actually resemble compute. Crude oil trades in dozens of grades, adjusted by sulfur content and delivery point. Electricity prices vary by node and hour. Real estate benchmarks exist despite every property being unique. In each case, the reference doesn't pretend goods are identical. It provides a baseline that makes deviations measurable and negotiable.
The GPU compute market has lacked this layer. The result is that data centers, neoclouds, lenders, and insurers are making multi-year commitments using bespoke assumptions they can't benchmark against anything. Utilization models are guesswork. Residual value estimates are vibes. Financing terms reflect the lender's uncertainty, not the asset's actual risk.
Ornn is building the reference layer this market needs. The alternatives fall short in predictable ways.
Most existing pricing data relies on quoted rates. These are list prices that almost no one actually pays. Quoted prices reflect what providers hope to charge, not what the market will bear. They ignore volume discounts, negotiated terms, and the reality that sticker price is often fiction. Building financial models on quoted prices is like valuing used cars at MSRP.
Survey-based approaches are worse. They depend on self-reported data that's easily gamed, selection-biased toward whoever bothers to respond, and stale by the time it's published. Surveys capture what participants want you to believe about the market, not what's actually happening in it.
Then there's the temptation to over-normalize. To average across hardware configurations, geographies, and contract structures until the index is clean but meaningless. False precision is more dangerous than no data at all. It gives lenders and insurers confidence in numbers that don't reflect real risk.
Ornn takes a different approach. We track actual transactions. Real trades between real counterparties. This is revealed preference, not stated preference. It's what buyers actually paid and sellers actually accepted. The Ornn Indices are designed to be the S&P 500 for high-performance compute: a benchmark the entire market can reference, price against, and build on.
Our approach embraces the market's complexity rather than flattening it. We preserve the signal in the variation. Where premiums appear for reliability, how regions diverge, what the spread looks like between spot and reserved capacity, how prices move through product cycles. The index reflects what the market is actually doing, not what any single participant claims.
What transparent pricing unlocks matters more than the data itself: rational financing terms, defensible depreciation assumptions, and eventually derivatives that let participants hedge real exposure. None of this requires compute to become fungible. It requires compute to become observable.
The AI economy is building on a foundation it cannot yet measure. Ornn is changing that.